The World's Largest Prediction Market

Trade on the outcomes of real-world events. Prices represent odds. Use real money to predict what happens next.

$10B+
Total Trading Volume
500K+
Active Predictors
2,500+
Active Markets

Markets

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Market Chart Price (Prob) 24h Volume
2028 US Presidential Election Winner?
PoliticsEnds in 842d
$0.62 ↑
62%
$3.2M Trade
Will Bitcoin reach $150K by end of 2026?
CryptoEnds in 175d
$0.45 ↓
45%
$8.2M Trade
Next Pope nationality? European
Pop CultureEnds in 30d
$0.72 ↑
72%
$1.8M Trade
Will SpaceX land on Mars before 2030?
TechEnds in 1290d
$0.35 ↑
35%
$2.1M Trade
NBA Finals 2026 Winner: Boston Celtics?
SportsEnds in 45d
$0.58 ↑
58%
$4.5M Trade

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Why Polymarket?

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Wisdom of Crowds

Market probabilities are more accurate than any expert prediction. Harness the collective intelligence of thousands of traders to get the most objective forecast.

Instant Settlement

Once an event is confirmed, winnings are immediately deposited to your wallet. No waiting periods, no paperwork, no intermediaries. Your money, your control.

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Transparent On-Chain

All trades are publicly verifiable on the Polygon blockchain. No black boxes, no hidden manipulation. Complete transparency you can audit yourself.

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Live Trading Activity

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0x3F
0x3F...a8B2 bought 500 shares of 2028 US Presidential Election YES at $0.62
2m ago
0x7C
0x7C...d1E4 bought 200 shares of Bitcoin $150K by 2026 YES at $0.45
3m ago
0xA2
0xA2...f9C7 bought 1000 shares of Fed Rate Cut September YES at $0.81
5m ago
0x1D
0x1D...b3A6 bought 150 shares of SpaceX Mars Landing YES at $0.35
7m ago
0x9E
0x9E...c5D8 bought 300 shares of NBA Finals Celtics YES at $0.58
8m ago
0x4B
0x4B...e2F1 bought 800 shares of Ethereum ETF Approval YES at $0.67
10m ago
0x6A
0x6A...a7G3 bought 250 shares of AI Top-10 Song YES at $0.41
12m ago
0x8F
0x8F...d4H9 bought 400 shares of Global Recession 2026 NO at $0.82
15m ago
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